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Prediction for CME (2022-03-30T18:23:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-03-30T18:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19597/-1 CME Note: Visible in the W in STEREO A COR2 and as an asymmetric halo slightly NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. Associated with X1.3 flare from AR 12975, eruption visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-03-30T17:30Z. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-03T15:00Z Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Prediction Method Note: Please enter the following information for your prediction: SWPC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: Resolution: Ambient settings: WSA version: CME input parameters CME Event ID: A8159 Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s): 630 km/s Longitude (deg): 41 deg Latitude (deg): 1 deg Half-angular width (deg): 33 deg Notes from SWPC Forecast Discussion Issued: 2022 Apr 02 0030 UTC Active conditions, with a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely on 03 Apr due to the combined influence of a negative polarity CH HSS and the periphery of a CME that left the Sun on 30 Mar. Quiet to unsettled conditions are likely on 04 Apr.Lead Time: 77.57 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Anna Chulaki (M2M SWAO) on 2022-03-31T09:26Z |
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